Yeah, It's fun. Failure analysis is kind of in my bones. Spent 15 yr in quality/reliability for a company that makes VERY large engines that sometimes fail gloriously. Now I'm a maintenance manager so still doing some if the same. Figuring out how stuff broke can be fun.
In this case I'm most hung up on the stripped magazine nut. Even a massive overpressure will not seem likely to cause the barrel ring to push against the nut until/unless the junction of the bolt lug and the bolt lug "notch" in the roof of the barrel hood has failed by fracture or deformation.
You know, I'm wondering if I need the nut at all except to keep the gun from falling apart while carrying it. So long as the bolt locks to the barrel hood would not the barrel and bolt recoil as an integral unit rearward into the receiver? The barrel may WANT to blow forward like the cap on a bottle (until the payload starts to move) but the bolt lug has it captured.
Recoil of an entire gun seems simple enough. It becomes an interesting problem once one starts considering the vectors on all of the individual parts from the moment of ignition through expulsion of the payload.
Such a tease. Doesnt he know the weather is crappy and we are bored? Got us all slathered about a remarkable and inexplicable event then runs off on us. It ain't right, I tells ya.